Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.630268 0.733922 0.846684 0.978131 1.126798 1.289371 1.480233
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.482383 0.624995 0.794312 1.008643 1.271059 1.580123 1.969748
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.383194 0.544614 0.751118 1.031111 1.396775 1.853637 2.462474
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.327686 0.504221 0.744805 1.090149 1.565481 2.188068 3.054806
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.267716 0.444238 0.699523 1.085758 1.643308 2.405022 3.507072
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.219620 0.391342 0.653836 1.070619 1.698729 2.589701 3.923236
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.183342 0.349398 0.616688 1.060322 1.755469 2.775233 4.348052
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.160437 0.324962 0.602364 1.081216 1.857564 3.030043 4.885549
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.140190 0.301278 0.585284 1.094164 1.946036 3.267841 5.409925
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.122263 0.278470 0.566078 1.100193 2.021901 3.488916 5.919621
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.110074 0.264496 0.560301 1.127676 2.133737 3.771514 6.538622
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.096286 0.244680 0.540836 1.127995 2.198224 3.980438 7.050908
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.079934 0.216583 0.502286 1.090133 2.194887 4.081113 7.400840
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.072972 0.208317 0.502105 1.124731 2.323437 4.410494 8.145165
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.065966 0.198565 0.497456 1.149826 2.436094 4.718968 8.870727
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.062883 0.197938 0.512122 1.214816 2.627735 5.175016 9.869057
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.055040 0.183359 0.493952 1.210057 2.685260 5.396548 10.473911
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.047521 0.167926 0.471506 1.193456 2.717542 5.573297 11.007788
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.041362 0.154871 0.452636 1.182156 2.758563 5.766864 11.578908
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.037749 0.148584 0.449366 1.205104 2.870510 6.097607 12.411337
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.034108 0.141353 0.442661 1.219321 2.964948 6.399636 13.204339
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.030548 0.133509 0.433200 1.225939 3.043398 6.674517 13.958756
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.028284 0.129553 0.433594 1.256104 3.174345 7.057422 14.930664